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Target Black Friday Ad Analysis: A 55" TV Doorbuster You Won't Believe

Plus, we found an unexpectedly great offer on the Apple Watch.

Update: Black Friday deals have started to leak!

Click here to see all of our roundups of the best Black Friday deals we've seen so far, or read on for more info about what's still to come.

One of the most anticipated Black Friday ads is here! Yes, Target's 2015 ad leak has dropped, and it's slamming out home runs on TV deals, leaving the other ads all like "a-whaaa?" It's a big ad though, so if you need some guidance, then check out our picks for the best and worst things to buy from Target's Black Friday ad below.

Best Black Friday Deals at Target

  • Westinghouse 55" 1080p LED HDTV for $250
    Pow! Target comes out swinging for the fences with this doorbuster of a doorbuster price. We predicted that a 55" off-brand TV doorbuster would be around $379, and this handily beats it, giving us a false sense of hope that Target's Black Friday sale is going to be the only one you need to watch. (Spoilers: It's not!) Of note, Meijer also offers an Element 55" TV for the same price.

  • Xbox One 500GB Gears of War Ultimate Edition Bundle with a $60 Target Gift Card for $300
    So, it looks like $299.99 will be the go-to price for this specific bundle (Gamestop will sell it for the same price); however, by throwing in a $60 gift card, Target has sweetened the pot. With that $60 gift card, you can pick up another game for free!

  • Apple TV Streaming Media Player for $52
    Since other stores (*cough* Staples *cough*) are offering the previous-generation Apple TV for full list price on Black Friday, that means this is a solid deal. In fact, it's the best no-rebate price we've seen. (We saw it for $50 shipped via mail-in rebate two weeks ago, so you'd only be "overpaying" by $2 anyway.)

  • Samsung UN60J6200 60" 120Hz 1080p Smart HDTV for $698
    Wow. This one is another great TV deal from Target! Not only does it beat our average price prediction for a name-brand 60" TV on Black Friday by $77, but no other store has even come close to offering a price this low yet.

  • Element 55" 4K Ultra HDTV for $400
    Target is really "bringing it" with these TV deals! Again, this one beats our prediction for a doorbuster price for this size TV (we estimated $425 for a 4K TV), and no other store comes close to this bargain yet.

  • Samsung Galaxy S6 or Note 5 with a $250 Target Gift Card for $0 down
    As we predicted, the best deals on smartphones this Black Friday are going to employ gift cards, because of the new non-subsidized model. Target's savings are pretty substantial, if you consider the gift card, because that's like getting up to 40% off! (And then having to pay a small monthly fee, over two years, to pay off the phone, sure... but you would have been locked into a new 2-year contract with the old way cell plans worked, anyway!) Keep in mind though that if you're switching to Verizon, you could get a bigger gift card at Staples.

  • Apple Watch with $100 Target Gift Card for $349
    In our predictions, we held out no hope for a substantial discount on the Apple Watch. In fact, we'd prognosticated a measly $10 off. The inclusion of a $100 gift card is much better.

  • Apple iPad Air 2 16GB Tablet with a $150 Target Gift Card for $499
    Although $499 is list price for the 16GB iPad Air 2, the hefty gift card drops the net price down to $349. That's tied with the lowest price ever for this iPad, which we saw just once over the summer. If you don't want to pay so much up front, however, you can also head over to Staples, which currently has the second-best ad for the iPad Air 2, offering it for $379.

  • iTunes Gift Cards: Buy one, get second one for 30% off
    Throughout the year, we see an average discount of 20% off on these popular cards, so this one is way above average. Is it the best deal ever? According to our data, December will have more of these deals, possibly fetching as much as 50% off, but for fairly small denominations. That said, free iTunes money is free iTunes money, right?

  • Skylanders SuperChargers Starter Pack or Disney Infinity 3.0 Starter Pack for $35
    The best Black Friday price on either of these video games that we've seen, they even edge out Sam's Club's price of $37.88 each. (And you need a membership to get those, too.) With these sets appearing in several ad leaks so far this year, they will likely see deep and frequent price cuts, so look for other stores to match or beat this price.

  • Dyson Cinetic Big Ball Animal Vacuum for $400
    The last time we saw a deal on this sucker was in September. Back then it was $555 and we thought it was a steal; this beats that by $155. By saving that much, you can afford to also buy two regular, non-Dyson vacuums.

  • Keurig Elite K40 Single-Serve Brewing System with a $15 Target Gift Card for $80
    This one's kind of in a grey area. At first glance, it's the lowest price we've seen for this brewer all year by $15. However, on Black Friday 2014, Target had also offered it for the same price... but with a $25 gift card.

Worst Black Friday Deals at Target

  • PlayStation 4 Uncharted Collection 500GB Console Bundle for $300
    Kohl's Cash strikes again! Target decides to throw this deal out there knowing full well that every other chain is going to offer it for the same price, because that's what happens with consoles on Black Friday. The only problem is that they, along with Meijer and GameStop, have just been ham-strung by Kohl's, which threw in $75 in Kohl's Cash to boot!

  • Almost Every Toy Deal
    It's not just that Target doesn't seem to be trying (it offers a buy one, get one 50% off deal on Melissa & Doug toys, when Macy's has the same sale at buy one, get one free), but Target is simply fighting a losing battle. If last year was any indication, Amazon will be offering three times as many toy deals as Target will during Black Friday. So, if you're only going to brave the crowds at Target to try and nab some toys, then you might as well just show online.

  • Samsung UN55JU6400 55" 120Hz Smart 4K HDTV for $798
    Pardon our harsh language, but this is an absolute stinker of a deal! We went into the Black Friday season predicting you'd see similar TVs for an average price of $650. At $148 above that, yuck. Pass on this one and be rewarded with cheaper TVs later.

  • Apple iPad mini 4 Tablet with a $100 Target Gift Card for $399
    What if I told you that you could get the same "absolute" deal, without the gift card rigamarole? Well, that's exactly what Staples did, when it announced it will sell this same iPad for $299, with no gift card tomfoolery.

  • Nintendo Wii U Smash Splat Edition 32GB Console Bundle for $250
    Yes, it's a discount. Yes, it's a great bundle that includes some popular games. But Meijer also has this bundle, and it includes a store credit too. Now, you could debate the awesomeness of a Meijer credit, but it's still a better deal, especially if you shop at Meijer.

  • KitchenAid 4.5-Quart Ultra Power Stand Mixer with a $20 Target Gift Card for $250
    Really? Every year it's the same thing: The big stores put a KitchenAid stand mixer in their ads, for around $250, without considering that we see better prices than this all year long. Don't be fooled! In fact, just earlier this month, we listed one for $190 at Walmart! We're still standing by our prediction that you'll see one for $141 during Black Friday.

Excited for Black Friday deals? Consider subscribing to the DealNews Select Newsletter to get a daily recap of all our deals; you never know when a Black Friday price will be released! You can also download the DealNews apps, check out the latest Black Friday ads, or read more buying advice.

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Marketing Communications Manager

Jeff Somogyi is the DealNews Marketing Communications Manager. Since working here he's written deals, features, promotional and newsletter copy, blog posts, as well as scripts for our videos. Follow him on Google+, Twitter at @sommerjam or his blog.
DealNews may be compensated by companies mentioned in this article. Unless marked as a "Sponsored Deal," the opinions expressed here are those of the author and have not been reviewed or endorsed by the companies mentioned. Please note that, although prices sometimes fluctuate or expire unexpectedly, all products and deals mentioned in this feature were available at the lowest total price we could find at the time of publication (unless otherwise specified).
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Re: itunes gift cards / fractions lesson
If you pay full price for one and get 30% off the second, that's only 15% off overall. You can find 15% off iTunes cards all day long.
Westinghouse has a terrible reliability history. Would go for the Element.